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  1. #91
    Sure dude..
    You keep believing that.
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  2. #92
    Originally Posted by woksu Go to original post
    I don't have information to make those calculations (drop rates, are loot weighted etc) and even so I could only give you probabilities.

    If you don't know math it doesn't mean nobody else couldn't know it either.

    The fact remains that after 4 unsuccessful tries you are pretty much twice as likely to get the drop as you were on your initial try.
    I understand the concept behind cumulative probability, thank you very much. I am going to assume there is a language barrier at play here with your constant statement of "you don't know math".
    And I also understand that cumulative probability is a statistic (the math part), and when it comes to statistics, I agree with Mark Twain.

    You also have to be mindful how you interpret and word the results. Saying "you are pretty much twice as likely to" sounds great, but if your odds are 2 in a million instead of 1 in a million, well... kind of like Johnny having $1 dlls and Jane having $99 dlls. It's nice to say " statistically, they average $50 dlls a head", but we know Johnny is screwed.
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  3. #93
    looks like a lot of you don't understand about the law here.

    China is now the biggest market on the world, and now freemium games is most popular,
    this law "maybe" is not that useful for the old original games such as TD and WoW.

    but for the freemium games, this is a really good law.
    because before people start spending their money, they can see their chance on getting the thing they want.
    a lot of freemium games conned their player,
    i will give you one example freemium games i am playing.
    Star Wars Galaxy of Heroes, just recently they put up the gambling.
    if you want to get the overpower Rogue One character: Jyn Erzo, Chirrut Imwe or Baze Malbus,
    you have to spend a lot of money buying their Rogue One Pack.
    then some whale try putting $200-300 on it to get it, and from their experience, it's found out the chance to get the shard it's only about 2%.
    now you can only imagine how many thousands $$$ they have to spend on it, to get the full 7 stars characters

    this is the actual function of the law,
    but it's still nice to knowing the percentage for the Barret Chest, so you could know how many hundreds lexington run you need to get it.
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  4. #94
    woksu's Avatar Senior Member
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    Originally Posted by III_Hammer_III Go to original post
    I understand the concept behind cumulative probability, thank you very much. I am going to assume there is a language barrier at play here with your constant statement of "you don't know math".
    And I also understand that cumulative probability is a statistic (the math part), and when it comes to statistics, I agree with Mark Twain.

    You also have to be mindful how you interpret and word the results. Saying "you are pretty much twice as likely to" sounds great, but if your odds are 2 in a million instead of 1 in a million, well... kind of like Johnny having $1 dlls and Jane having $99 dlls. It's nice to say " statistically, they average $50 dlls a head", but we know Johnny is screwed.
    So I never said the odds are great and I only said you are "almost twice as likely" and that still is the fact.

    1/~1M is still ~1 million tries less than 1/2M, if you don't see big difference in that well then we shouldn't have this argument.

    If you try to argue against the simple mathematical fact then in my opinion it is pretty fair to make assumption that you have problems with math.

    But reading this reply it seems like you are mixing me with somebody else in this thread.

    From mathematical point of view you are not interested in calculating what is you probability for something to happen (because even with cumulative probability it will never reach 2x the original chance) instead you are interested on what is your chances of not to get the desired outcome in n tries.
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  5. #95
    sandpants's Avatar Senior Member
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    Originally Posted by Force58 Go to original post
    Who really cares?????? Nobody. Can't you just play the game like it is? Do you feel this entitled in real life, holy hell man. Let's just move on and play the game, or in your case, maybe move on to a game that doesn't have micro-transactions and uses real cash within the game for anything. You're mixing up computer/console gaming with gambling and there is no similarity.
    This is ignorant.

    Everyone who plays with other people, with or against, and is behind in the gear progression cares. It is not about entitlement. It's like being forced to play a title from 10 years back whilst everyone else has departed from it. You can nickle and dime this however you want and get into the details of how you can avoid needing all the new toys and all the new loot, but the matter is that by ignoring this loot you are also ignoring content because this is a looter through and through and that's how content is assessed and measured in a looter - the loot you get and it's application.

    Frankly your defensive stance makes little sense. Defend this lottery POS all you want, evidence is that 1.3 which followed a similarly neglectful and carefree RNG BS had a dribbling population leaking people into other games. Wouldn't it be ironic if everyone followed your advice and this game finally just died...?
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  6. #96
    Originally Posted by Nopvedz4you Go to original post
    Thank God I don't live in these stupid countries.
    Your sir, have just won the internet for reply of the day.

    Congrats.
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  7. #97
    All of those caps......?
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  8. #98
    Originally Posted by Art.Van.Delay Go to original post
    Yeah, your argument would have been valid in the 80s and early 90s, but maybe you heard about the internet ( it's great! ), so technically it makes zero difference, if the information is made public in one country or 180.
    Have you heard how sensored the Chinese and Korean contries are? They can't even use Google. I can't really see them posting too much about the drops on the internet.
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